Corona Virus
A series of write ups on the virus
It progresses - but not uniformly
12/07/2020
The UK death rate continues to improve, albeit
very slowly. England has improved by 8.9% over the last
week. The other UK Nations have done better.
As we look at Scotland, Northern Ireland, and the absolute
numbers are small. N.I. has had no deaths in the last week
and Scotland has had 3. Spain's figures are suspect.
The USA in total is now seeing a rise in the
death rate, largely driven by states such as Florida who have
drastically reduced restrictions. Unbelievably, Florida
has re-opened Disneyland!
In Brazil, the death rate per million population has been
sitting at about 33 for the last six weeks and shows no sign of
coming down. If president Bolsonaro, recovers without much
problem from the virus (which is statistically very probable) he
will continue to downplay the issues and the situation will not
change.
In the UK. The effects of the reduced
restrictions as regard social distancing and travel are yet to
be seen in the death statistics.

What is evident is that the world is going to
have to live with the virus until a vaccine is available.
Worldwide recorded deaths, and therefore infections, have
increased at a steady 10% per month for the past two months.
Strategies vary:-
From the ultra-cautious in Australia, where current death on the
above graph would be 0.02 but some states are in lockdown;
Through the third world countries who do not have the
infrastructure to handle the epidemic;
To the cavalier countries like Brazil, and the USA who are
biasing their strategy in favour of the economy.
It is a difficult choice, ignoring the virus will give rise to
deaths, unfettered about 0.5% of the entire population would
die. But ignoring the economy could be as bad, or worse
due to increased poverty and ultimately starvation.
I suspect many countries will bias their
decision towards the economy, at the expense of losing some of
their older population BUT, in most countries the decision
makers are in that category themselves.
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Covid Articles
15/01/2021
There is light
11/01/20211
A new year begins
02/01/2020
A good thing?
31/12/2020
The Year ends in Tiers
21/12/2020
A worrying Trend
13/12/2020
Two weeks of Tiers
30/11/2020
Ending Lockdown
16/11/2020
Mid lock down
26/10/2020
October
8/10/2020
Long Covid
28/9/2020
September3
0/8/2020
August roundup
10/08/2020
Englands data
31/07/2020
July roundup
29/07/2020
Spain Data Manipulation II
20/07/2020
How far are we behind
12/07/2020
It progresses
04/07/2020
The flood gates open
27/06/2020
State of the Nations
21/06/2020
Exit and Testing1
4/06/2020
Hindsight and Foresight#
07/06/2020
Tracking and general comment
05/06/2020
Spain Data Manipulation
5/06/2020
UK Data Manipulation
24/05/2020
Tracking, school opening and care homes.
17/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with Germany
10/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with other countries
7/05/2020
Tracking
7/05/2020
Clarification
03/5/2020
Exiting Part 1
01/05/2020
Statistics
01/04/2020
First Thoughts |