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Corona Virus

A series of write ups on the virus

A good thing?

02/01/2021

The UK and the rest of the world are struggling with this virus.  We have been woefully unprepared for this pandemic despite constant warnings from the World Health Organization.

The new strain appears to be more infectious, some say by 57% How would we have coped if the virus had been 10 times as infectious, and/or if the mortality rate were not 2% but 20%?

If a worse strain appears in the future we may have the procedures to deal with it;

But this all depends on the present government not saying "Phew we're glad that's over - now back to work as usual. Where can we cut costs?"

It also depends on the government at that time taking a firm hand and not dithering like Johnson and his crew have done.

We will probably, sadly, end up with around 100,000 covid deaths in the UK by the time this virus is beaten.  If the more infectious strain had hit us first it would have been a lot worse. 

If the next pandemic to hit us is more infectious and/or with a higher mortality than this one, then what we have learned may mean we can manage it far better.

The scientists have come up with amazing new techniques for the rapid development of vaccines, and it will be by their efforts that we can get out of this mess.  But they cannot work miracles. There will be a minimum time in which a virus can be isolated, identified and a vaccine developed, tested, and distributed.

We have seen how deaths from the less infectious variant went from 24 per day to almost 1000 per day in three weeks thanks to government dithering. 

Hopefully, when the next one hits us we will be prepared and we will have methods to constrain the virus until a vaccine is ready.

The lessons learned and the 100,000 deaths this time may save us millions of deaths next time.


Covid Articles

29/03/2021
Mortality

15/03/2021
Are we doing well now?

22/02/2021
Are we doing well?

1/02/2021
R is for Rubbish

30/01/2021
UK Lockdowns

27/01/2021
Dithering

24/01/2021
Good News and Bad

17/01/2021
Worst in Class

15/01/2021
There is light

11/01/2021
A new year begins

02/01/2021
A good thing?

31/12/2020
The Year ends in Tiers

21/12/2020
A worrying Trend

13/12/2020
Two weeks of Tiers

30/11/2020
Ending Lockdown

16/11/2020
Mid lock down

26/10/2020
October

8/10/2020
Long Covid

28/9/2020
September3

0/8/2020
August roundup

10/08/2020
Englands data

31/07/2020
July roundup

29/07/2020
Spain Data Manipulation II

20/07/2020
How far are we behind

12/07/2020
It progresses

04/07/2020
The flood gates open  

27/06/2020
State of the Nations

21/06/2020
Exit and Testing1

4/06/2020
Hindsight and Foresight#

07/06/2020
Tracking and general comment

05/06/2020
Spain Data Manipulation

5/06/2020
UK Data Manipulation

24/05/2020
Tracking, school opening and care homes.

17/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with Germany

10/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with other countries

7/05/2020
Tracking

7/05/2020
Clarification

03/5/2020
Exiting Part 1

01/05/2020
Statistics

01/04/2020
First Thoughts

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