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Corona Virus
A series of write ups on the virus

Coronavirus Tracking,  Data Manipulation.  Spain.

05/06/2020

Spain was showing a steady decline in deaths up until 16th May. Up until then the deaths were reducing at around 5% per day and daily deaths were around 120.  At that rate we would expect death rates to have declined steadily to around 45 per day as of today.

Instead the death rates, after a flurry of changes are now showing an average of 2 per day making Spain the lowest death rate in Europe. 

Fig 1 below shows the published death rates, the ones which go off scale are way off scale (+688 and -1,915 respectively).

Fig 2 shows how the published death rate per million population has dropped to the lowest in Europe.


Spain has apparently reduced death rates from 120 per day to 2 per day in two weeks.

A miracle

Covid anomoly
Fig 1. Spain Covid 19 Published Deaths.

covid_spain
Fig 2 Death rates in Spain compared to other countries.

Update from El Pais 12-June

Since May 11, when the Health Ministry changed the method for collecting data, the historical series on the number of Covid-19 fatalities has been updated at a very slow pace. Although authorities reported 32 deaths in the past week, just nine fatalities have been added to the official toll in the past month.

Health authorities changed the way they present the total number of victims, so that fatalities are ordered according to the date of death, and not the date of notification. There are thousands of deaths that are yet to be assigned to a specific date, and that are in a kind of limbo.

32 deaths in one week as reported in El Pais is much worse than official figures but, as a proportion of the population (this works out as under 1 per million), still far better than any other country in Europe.

UPDATE 21st June

Spain has now released updated figures which show that the virus is all but beaten in Spain.

From the worldometers site, here is the new record of Spains death rate.

Spain covid

So Spain has reduced its death rate to around 4% of what it was a month ago. That is about five times better than Italy, or France, or Germany if the figures can be believed.

Spain is also opening up to tourists.  Until believable figures are produced I'm not going.


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Covid Articles

29/03/2021
Mortality

15/03/2021
Are we doing well now?

22/02/2021
Are we doing well?

1/02/2021
R is for Rubbish

30/01/2021
UK Lockdowns

27/01/2021
Dithering

24/01/2021
Good News and Bad

17/01/2021
Worst in Class

15/01/2021
There is light

11/01/2021
A new year begins

02/01/2021
A good thing?

31/12/2020
The Year ends in Tiers

21/12/2020
A worrying Trend

13/12/2020
Two weeks of Tiers

30/11/2020
Ending Lockdown

16/11/2020
Mid lock down

26/10/2020
October

8/10/2020
Long Covid

28/9/2020
September3

0/8/2020
August roundup

10/08/2020
Englands data

31/07/2020
July roundup

29/07/2020
Spain Data Manipulation II

20/07/2020
How far are we behind

12/07/2020
It progresses

04/07/2020
The flood gates open  

27/06/2020
State of the Nations

21/06/2020
Exit and Testing1

4/06/2020
Hindsight and Foresight#

07/06/2020
Tracking and general comment

05/06/2020
Spain Data Manipulation

5/06/2020
UK Data Manipulation

24/05/2020
Tracking, school opening and care homes.

17/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with Germany

10/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with other countries

7/05/2020
Tracking

7/05/2020
Clarification

03/5/2020
Exiting Part 1

01/05/2020
Statistics

01/04/2020
First Thoughts

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