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Corona Virus
A series of write ups on the virus

It progresses - but not uniformly

12/07/2020

The UK death rate continues to improve, albeit very slowly.  England has improved by 8.9% over the last week. The other UK Nations have done better.

As we look at Scotland, Northern Ireland, and the absolute numbers are small.  N.I. has had no deaths in the last week and Scotland has had 3.  Spain's figures are suspect.

The USA in total is now seeing a rise in the death rate, largely driven by states such as Florida who have drastically reduced restrictions.  Unbelievably, Florida has re-opened Disneyland!

In Brazil, the death rate per million population has been sitting at about 33 for the last six weeks and shows no sign of coming down.  If president Bolsonaro, recovers without much problem from the virus (which is statistically very probable) he will continue to downplay the issues and the situation will not change.

In the UK. The effects of the reduced restrictions as regard social distancing and travel are yet to be seen in the death statistics.

Covid trends 11th July

What is evident is that the world is going to have to live with the virus until a vaccine is available. Worldwide recorded deaths, and therefore infections, have increased at a steady 10% per month for the past two months.

Strategies vary:-
From the ultra-cautious in Australia, where current death on the above graph would be 0.02 but some states are in lockdown;
Through the third world countries who do not have the infrastructure to handle the epidemic;
To the cavalier countries like Brazil, and the USA who are biasing their strategy in favour of the economy. 

It is a difficult choice, ignoring the virus will give rise to deaths, unfettered about 0.5% of the entire population would die.  But ignoring the economy could be as bad, or worse due to increased poverty and ultimately starvation.

I suspect many countries will bias their decision towards the economy, at the expense of losing some of their older population BUT, in most countries the decision makers are in that category themselves.

Covid 19 small 
Covid Articles

22/02/2021
Are we doing well?

1/02/2021
R is for Rubbish

30/01/2021
UK Lockdowns

27/01/2021
Dithering

24/01/2021
Good News and Bad

17/01/2021
Worst in Class

15/01/2021
There is light

11/01/2021
A new year begins

02/01/2021
A good thing?

31/12/2020
The Year ends in Tiers

21/12/2020
A worrying Trend

13/12/2020
Two weeks of Tiers

30/11/2020
Ending Lockdown

16/11/2020
Mid lock down

26/10/2020
October

8/10/2020
Long Covid

28/9/2020
September3

0/8/2020
August roundup

10/08/2020
Englands data

31/07/2020
July roundup

29/07/2020
Spain Data Manipulation II

20/07/2020
How far are we behind

12/07/2020
It progresses

04/07/2020
The flood gates open  

27/06/2020
State of the Nations

21/06/2020
Exit and Testing1

4/06/2020
Hindsight and Foresight#

07/06/2020
Tracking and general comment

05/06/2020
Spain Data Manipulation

5/06/2020
UK Data Manipulation

24/05/2020
Tracking, school opening and care homes.

17/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with Germany

10/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with other countries

7/05/2020
Tracking

7/05/2020
Clarification

03/5/2020
Exiting Part 1

01/05/2020
Statistics

01/04/2020
First Thoughts

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