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Corona Virus

A series of write ups on the virus

Two weeks of Tiers

14/12/2020

From two weeks ago
So England, and therefore the UK, will probably be very close to the peak now and we should be starting to see a reduction in deaths over the next week.
The deaths reduced at a rate of 5% per day during the first lockdown.  The new Tier system is unlikely to better that, so maybe 4% may be possible.

Deaths did actually peak around the 28th November and fell at an average rate of 1.5% per day for 10 days.  But then curve flattened. They will probably start rising in a week or so as the cases have already started to rise.

The number of cases had been falling since mid November, but the fall stalled, and the numbers leveled out around the beginning of December and have been rising since the 9th of December.

Currently cases are rising much faster in Wales than the rest of the UK, although the death rate is not showing a corresponding increase?? The very latest UK figures show zero cases and deaths for Wales. This could be because they are being overwhelmed.

Mortality continues to increase even as the number of cases and deaths decreases. This is simply because  the disease is now spreading in the older and vulnerable. It now sits at around 2.5%.

covid min dec

 The figures

Covid Cases

Cases are rising in the UK, France and Germany and the USA.

Covid deaths

Deaths are fairly steady in the UK, falling in France and Italy and rising in Germany and the USA.

The UK figures are quite depressing. Cases are rising, deaths are not decreasing, restrictions will be reduced at Christmas, and the Tiers will soon be revised. The Government continues, as it has done from the beginning to react to little and too late.  We have proved incapable of controlling the virus without a vaccine, but hopefully the scientists, engineers, and technicians will take is out of this mess.


Covid Articles

29/03/2021
Mortality

15/03/2021
Are we doing well now?

22/02/2021
Are we doing well?

1/02/2021
R is for Rubbish

30/01/2021
UK Lockdowns

27/01/2021
Dithering

24/01/2021
Good News and Bad

17/01/2021
Worst in Class

15/01/2021
There is light

11/01/2021
A new year begins

02/01/2021
A good thing?

31/12/2020
The Year ends in Tiers

21/12/2020
A worrying Trend

13/12/2020
Two weeks of Tiers

30/11/2020
Ending Lockdown

16/11/2020
Mid lock down

26/10/2020
October

8/10/2020
Long Covid

28/9/2020
September3

0/8/2020
August roundup

10/08/2020
Englands data

31/07/2020
July roundup

29/07/2020
Spain Data Manipulation II

20/07/2020
How far are we behind

12/07/2020
It progresses

04/07/2020
The flood gates open  

27/06/2020
State of the Nations

21/06/2020
Exit and Testing1

4/06/2020
Hindsight and Foresight#

07/06/2020
Tracking and general comment

05/06/2020
Spain Data Manipulation

5/06/2020
UK Data Manipulation

24/05/2020
Tracking, school opening and care homes.

17/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with Germany

10/05/2020
Tracking and comparison with other countries

7/05/2020
Tracking

7/05/2020
Clarification

03/5/2020
Exiting Part 1

01/05/2020
Statistics

01/04/2020
First Thoughts

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